| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jun 1, 2025 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Jan 1, 2025 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Sep 1, 2025 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 1, 2025 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Jan 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks when Dogecoin will reach a USD price of $1. It matters because reaching that round-number milestone would be a major value and sentiment event for a widely held crypto asset.
Dogecoin began as a meme-based cryptocurrency and has since seen large, volatile price moves tied to broader crypto cycles, social-media attention, and retail trading. The market is hosted on KALSHI, currently lists eight mutually exclusive time-window outcomes, has seen meaningful trading volume, and the market close date is listed as TBD — consult the event page for any updates.
Prediction-market prices represent collective expectations about the timing of the milestone, updating as new information arrives; they are a dynamic signal, not a guarantee that a specific outcome will occur.
This market is split into eight mutually exclusive time-window outcomes that partition possible dates when the $1 milestone could be reached; see the market page for the exact date ranges and wording that determine which outcome wins.
Settlement follows the event's official resolution criteria on KALSHI; typically that specifies a reference price source (exchange or aggregate feed) and whether a single trade at or above $1 or a time-weighted average is required. Consult the event's resolution rules to see what counts.
Whether prior occurrences matter depends on the market's start and resolution language. Many date-based markets are forward-looking from the market's creation date; check the event text and KALSHI's rules to see if existence of an earlier print leads to immediate resolution or a different outcome.
Most event pages limit the reference to specified spot USD exchange feeds or consolidated spot data; derivatives, wrapped tokens, or synthetic markets are generally excluded unless explicitly named in the settlement definition. Verify the listed price sources in the event details.
Watch major exchange listings and liquidity changes, large-scale accumulation or transfers by whale addresses, token supply changes or announced burns, major regulatory rulings affecting crypto access, and spikes in social-media attention or endorsements that could materially alter retail demand.