| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Feb 13, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 10, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 14, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 15, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 16, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 17, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Feb 23, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 10, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 20, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 26, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 28, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Mar 30, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Apr 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Apr 8, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Apr 15, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Before Apr 22, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before May 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before May 8, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before May 15, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before May 22, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks when the Department of Homeland Security will next receive enacted funding (via an appropriations bill or continuing resolution). The timing matters because DHS funding determines staffing, border operations, grant flows, and other core national security functions.
Congress funds DHS through the annual appropriations process, but short-term continuing resolutions (CRs) and omnibus packages are commonly used when regular bills are delayed. Political disagreements, competing spending priorities, and procedural hurdles in the House and Senate frequently shape the timing and form of DHS funding. Executive branch priorities and urgent events can also prompt emergency funding or accelerate negotiations.
Market prices reflect the aggregated expectations of traders about when funding will be enacted and update in real time as new information arrives. Use prices as a dynamic signal of perceived timing risk, not as a guarantee of any particular legislative outcome.
It means Congress has enacted and the president has signed legislation—either a standalone appropriations bill, an omnibus package, or a continuing resolution—that provides DHS with statutory authority to obligate funds.
Key influencers are the House and Senate appropriations committees, chamber leadership (majority and relevant minority leaders), and the White House (OMB and the administration’s negotiators); DHS leadership can also request emergency funding that shapes timing.
CRs extend current funding levels temporarily and therefore count as a funding action; frequent or short-term CRs tend to push final appropriations later and increase timeline uncertainty.
Significant security incidents, border crises, or disasters can create political pressure for rapid funding action or emergency supplemental bills, causing markets to reprioritize the likely timing of enacted funding.
Track formal congressional actions (bill introductions, floor votes, appropriations markups), leadership statements and negotiation updates, White House funding requests, and breaking news about relevant events; procedural moves like cloture filings or discharge petitions are also informative.