| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| FBI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cartel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hawaii | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cyberattack / Cyber Attack | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drone | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ISIS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fentanyl | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mexico / Mexican | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hamas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of 19 predefined mention categories Tulsi Gabbard will utter during a Senate hearing titled "Worldwide Threats." It matters because her remarks could shape media narratives and influence how listeners interpret U.S. foreign‑policy debates.
Tulsi Gabbard is a former U.S. Representative known for noninterventionist foreign‑policy positions and high‑profile critiques of mainstream U.S. approaches to Syria, regime change, and military engagement. A Senate hearing on worldwide threats typically gathers intelligence assessments and testimony that frame congressional oversight and public debate on national security priorities. Prepared statements, committee questioning, and breaking events all shape what individual witnesses say.
Prediction market odds here represent traders' collective expectations about which predefined mentions will occur during the hearing; they update as new information (e.g., released testimony, leaked drafts, or live exchanges) becomes available. For precise settlement mechanics, consult the market's rulebook and event description.
Outcomes are tied to the market's predefined mention categories; settlement is based on the official public hearing record (transcript and/or audio/video) and whether the spoken words meet the market's stated criteria. Paraphrases or implied references may not count unless they meet that criteria—consult the market rules for exact definitions.
The event listing shows 'Closes: TBD.' Markets like this typically close either when trading is halted prior to the hearing or at a time set by the exchange; resolution usually follows publication of the official hearing record. Check the specific market page for announced closing and settlement timings.
Most mention markets cover all remarks made on the public record during the hearing, including prepared statements and answers during questioning, but the exact scope (e.g., whether follow‑ups, clarifications, or brief interruptions count) is defined in the market's resolution rules.
Yes. If questions touch classified material, the witness may be instructed not to answer, provide a redacted or off‑the‑record response, or refer senators to classified channels—any such restrictions will reduce the likelihood that related mentions appear in the public record for resolution.
Release or leak of Gabbard's prepared remarks, committee question lists or prehearing briefings, sudden international incidents, intelligence community updates, and public statements by other key players can all materially alter which topics she addresses during the hearing.