| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $388K | Trade → |
| Oil | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $241K | Trade → |
| Drone | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $214K | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $203K | Trade → |
| America First | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $187K | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $182K | Trade → |
| Democrat | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $178K | Trade → |
| Trump (5+ times) | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $144K | Trade → |
| Constitution / Constitutional | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $86K | Trade → |
| Submarine | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $77K | Trade → |
| Hezbollah | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $70K | Trade → |
| Fake News | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $66K | Trade → |
| F-15 / F-15E | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $64K | Trade → |
| Iraq | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $36K | Trade → |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| Midnight Hammer | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| Civilian | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
This market tracks the specific rhetoric and key themes addressed by Pete Hegseth during his appearance on 60 Minutes. It serves as a sentiment gauge for how the nominee or public figure navigates high-profile media scrutiny regarding his policy positions and personal history.
Pete Hegseth, a veteran and media personality, has been a focal point of intense political debate regarding his proposed leadership roles and past conduct. An interview on 60 Minutes represents a high-stakes platform often used to address controversies, clarify legislative agendas, and influence public perception ahead of key confirmation or political milestones. Participants analyze his responses to gauge shifts in his strategic messaging.
The market prices reflect collective expectations regarding the likelihood of specific topics being addressed, serving as a pulse on political discourse surrounding the interview.
The market resolves based on the official broadcast content of the 60 Minutes interview featuring Pete Hegseth.
The outcome is based on what is stated during the broadcast; a refusal to answer or a pivot is still considered a verbal response provided during the segment.
No, the market strictly concerns the content spoken by Pete Hegseth within the primary 60 Minutes interview segment.
If the interview does not occur or is not broadcast as scheduled, the market rules typically dictate how the position will be handled, usually resulting in a void or refund.
Yes, resolution is based on the semantic substance of his responses as captured in the final broadcast transcript.