| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hamas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fentanyl | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hawaii | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cyberattack / Cyber Attack | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drone | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cartel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ISIS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| FBI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mexico / Mexican | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statement, topic, or named mention Tulsi Gabbard will make during the congressional hearing titled "Worldwide Threats." It matters because the content of her remarks can signal policy priorities, shift media narratives, and influence market expectations about how the hearing will be perceived.
Tulsi Gabbard is a former U.S. Representative and military veteran known for outspoken views on foreign policy, military intervention, and civil liberties; those prior positions shape what observers expect she might emphasize at a hearing on global threats. Congressional "Worldwide Threats" hearings typically gather intelligence, defense, and foreign policy experts and can prompt witnesses or members to highlight specific countries, organizations, or policy proposals. The market captures which of a predefined set of 19 possible statements or topics she will actually utter during the proceeding.
Market prices reflect the collective view of traders about which outcome is most likely given available information and will update as new facts emerge (agendas, statements released in advance, live testimony). They are not guarantees; check the market’s resolution rules and the official hearing record for the final determination.
Resolution timing depends on the exchange’s rules: typically the market resolves after the hearing concludes and an authoritative record (official transcript, committee minutes, or posted video) is available. Check the market page for the specific resolution source and any stated waiting period.
Each market defines its resolution criteria in its listing; in most cases only words attributable to Tulsi Gabbard in the official hearing record (spoken by her or included in her submitted statement) count, while paraphrases by others do not. Confirm the exact wording and examples in the market’s rules.
Outcomes typically cover discrete possible mentions or topics (e.g., named countries, institutions, policy proposals, or specific allegations), as well as catch-all or "none of the above" options. Review the market’s outcome list to see the exact phrasing and mutually exclusive structure.
The market’s resolution policy will specify the authoritative source—commonly the official committee transcript, the posted video of the hearing, or an uploaded written statement—and that source is used to determine which outcome happened.
If the format limits allotted speaking time or confines discussion to pre-set topics, Gabbard may be less likely to touch on many different subjects; extended Q&A or unscripted exchanges increase the chance of spontaneous mentions. The format therefore affects the range and specificity of statements she can reasonably make.