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What will Trump say this week?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
12
Markets
27

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (27)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Autism 0%
$0 Trade →
Communist / Communism 0%
$0 Trade →
Golden Dome 0%
$0 Trade →
Barack Hussein Obama 0%
$0 Resolved
Mog / Mogged / Mogging 0%
$0 Trade →
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome 0%
$0 Resolved
Crypto / Bitcoin 0%
$0 Trade →
Thug 0%
$0 Resolved
Bibi / Netanyahu 0%
$0 Resolved
Drill Baby Drill 0%
$0 Resolved
Autopen / Auto Pen 0%
$0 Resolved
Who are you with / Where are you from 0%
$0 Resolved
Nobel 0%
$0 Trade →
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis 0%
$0 Trade →
Windmill 0%
$0 Trade →
Melania 0%
$0 Resolved
Newscum 0%
$0 Resolved
50,000 0%
$0 Resolved
Discombobulator 0%
$0 Trade →
Predict / Prediction 0%
$0 Resolved
Sleepy Joe 0%
$0 Resolved
Stupid Question 0%
$0 Trade →
Rigged Election / Stolen Election 0%
$0 Trade →
Epstein 0%
$0 Trade →
Transgender 0%
$0 Resolved
Eight War 0%
$0 Resolved
Hottest 0%
$0 Resolved

About This Market

This market asks traders to predict which of the predefined 27 outcomes best matches something former President Donald J. Trump will say during the coming week. It matters because it quantifies market expectations about his messaging and which themes or phrases are most likely to appear publicly.

Trump frequently communicates through rallies, interviews, press statements, and social media, and his remarks often respond quickly to legal developments, campaign strategy, or breaking news. Markets like this capture short-run shifts in rhetorical priorities and can highlight which topics or lines of attack are resonating in real time. Because outcomes and the resolution rules are fixed by the market, participants should read the outcome definitions before trading.

Market odds reflect the collective judgment about which predefined outcome will be seen as the best match when the market resolves; they are not literal statements of truth but a consensus forecast that updates as new information arrives. Low trading volume or many open outcomes can make prices more volatile and less informative, so check liquidity and the market’s resolution text before interpreting prices.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How will this market determine which outcome wins when it 'closes' or resolves?

Resolution is governed by the market’s official settlement rules and outcome definitions; typically the market operator (see the market page) specifies which sources and time windows count. Traders should review the event’s resolution text on the market page for the precise criteria that will be used.

If Trump says multiple things that match different outcomes in the same week, how is the winning outcome chosen?

That depends on the market’s tie-breaking and resolution rules. Some markets pick the first qualifying statement, others pick the most prominent or the one that best matches the outcome definitions. Check the market’s published resolution procedure for the exact rule.

Which types of statements are typically counted—speech transcripts, social media posts, interview quotes, or offhand comments?

Most markets specify allowed sources (e.g., verified social media accounts, live speeches, press interviews, or major news transcripts). The market’s description should list accepted channels; if it doesn’t, contact the market operator or consult the market’s official FAQ before trading.

What information should I monitor this week to update my assessment of likely outcomes?

Track Trump’s public event schedule, official campaign communications, legal docket or court calendars, major breaking news that could trigger a response, and pre-broadcast previews or social posts from his team that often signal the messaging focus.

Who are the authoritative sources used to verify a quoted line for settlement?

Authoritative sources are defined by the market’s settlement rules but commonly include official campaign releases, verified social media accounts, full transcripts from speeches or interviews, and reports from established news organizations. Always consult the market’s resolution criteria for the definitive list.

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