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What will Trump say this week?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
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All Outcomes (27)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Crypto / Bitcoin 0%
$0 Trade →
Melania 0%
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50,000 0%
$0 Trade →
Golden Dome 0%
$0 Trade →
Discombobulator 0%
$0 Trade →
Epstein 0%
$0 Resolved
Predict / Prediction 0%
$0 Resolved
Stupid Question 0%
$0 Trade →
Drill Baby Drill 0%
$0 Trade →
Autopen / Auto Pen 0%
$0 Resolved
Transgender 0%
$0 Resolved
Communist / Communism 0%
$0 Trade →
Nancy / Pelosi 0%
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Thug 0%
$0 Trade →
Bibi / Netanyahu 0%
$0 Trade →
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome 0%
$0 Resolved
Cookie 0%
$0 Resolved
Rigged Election / Stolen Election 0%
$0 Resolved
World Cup 0%
$0 Trade →
Nobel 0%
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Windmill 0%
$0 Resolved
Sleepy Joe 0%
$0 Resolved
Mog / Mogged / Mogging 0%
$0 Trade →
Barack Hussein Obama 0%
$0 Resolved
Newscum 0%
$0 Resolved
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis 0%
$0 Trade →
Who are you with / Where are you from 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks traders to predict which specific phrase, topic, or notable line Donald Trump will say during the upcoming week of public remarks and posts. It matters because collective trading reveals expectations about his messaging priorities and likely news cycles.

Trump routinely speaks across rallies, interviews, press events, and social platforms, so weekly messaging can shift quickly in response to legal developments, campaign strategy, or breaking stories. Markets like this capture those shifts by offering granular outcome choices and letting traders incorporate new information in real time.

Market prices or 'odds' reflect the aggregated expectation of which outcome traders think will occur this week. Rapid price moves usually indicate new information — for example, a scheduled appearance or a breaking event — that changes the perceived likelihood of particular phrases or topics.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts as 'say' in this event — spoken remarks only, or social-media posts and written statements too?

The contract typically considers public, attributable statements appearing in the public record (live speeches, interviews, press conferences, and official social‑media posts). Private or off‑the‑record remarks generally do not qualify; consult the event's resolution rules for the definitive standard.

How is the 'this week' observation window defined if the market close is listed as TBD?

The precise observation window is specified in the contract terms or event description; many weekly contracts use a fixed seven‑day window. Because this listing shows TBD for close, check the platform's event details or announcements for the exact start and end timestamps.

With 27 possible outcomes, how are similar phrases or topics distinguished when adjudicating the winner?

Outcomes are defined narrowly and adjudicators compare the exact wording or topical definition in the contract to the public statement. If wording overlaps, the platform's adjudication and tie‑breaking procedures determine the winner; review those rules for how ambiguities are handled.

If Trump repeats the same line multiple times in different venues this week, does that change how the market resolves?

Resolution usually requires at least one qualifying instance of the specified phrase or topic; repetition isn't necessary to satisfy the contract. That said, repeated usage often moves market prices because it increases traders' confidence that the outcome has occurred or will occur.

Which real‑time developments are most likely to move prices for this specific event?

Announcements of new appearances or interviews, leaked agendas, major court rulings, high‑profile news events, or sudden shifts in campaign messaging are the most common catalysts that cause traders to reprice which phrase or topic he is likely to say this week.

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