| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $185K | Trade → |
| ✓ Barack Hussein Obama | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $133K | Resolved |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $104K | Trade → |
| Communist / Communism | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $102K | Trade → |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $100K | Trade → |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $64K | Trade → |
| Epstein | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $45K | Trade → |
| Drill Baby Drill | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $43K | Trade → |
| Thug | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $41K | Trade → |
| ✓ Sleepy Joe | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $38K | Resolved |
| ✓ Windmill | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $37K | Resolved |
| Golden Dome | 3% | 1¢ | 3¢ | — | $37K | Trade → |
| Predict / Prediction | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $34K | Trade → |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $30K | Trade → |
| ✓ Transgender | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $26K | Resolved |
| Newscum | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| ✓ World Cup | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $23K | Resolved |
| Space Force | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Discombobulator | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| ✓ Crypto / Bitcoin | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $20K | Resolved |
| Nobel | 3% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Cookie | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| ✓ Bibi / Netanyahu | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Resolved |
| ✓ Melania | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $12K | Resolved |
| ✓ 50,000 | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Resolved |
This market asks which specific phrase, topic, or type of statement former President Donald J. Trump will utter during the current week; it matters because those public remarks can shift political narratives, media coverage, and short‑term trading sentiment.
Trump is a frequent and high‑visibility communicator whose weekly remarks can appear in speeches, interviews, social posts, press events, or legal proceedings. The market aggregates traders' expectations based on his schedule, recent messaging patterns, and unfolding legal or political developments; historical behavior shows repeated themes but also rapid shifts when unexpected events occur.
Market prices represent the collective, real‑time judgement of participants about which outcome is most likely and update as new information appears; they should be treated as a consensus signal rather than a guarantee of what will happen.
The market's official contract specifications define the week's start and close; because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', the exchange will publish the precise cutoff and any settlement timing on the market page — that posted schedule determines which statements are eligible.
A qualifying statement is any public utterance attributable to Donald J. Trump in the channels covered by the market (for example, speeches, interviews, press events, social posts) and assessed against the outcome definitions in the contract; adjudicators will use transcripts, video, or other authoritative sources to match wording to outcomes.
The exchange or designated settlement authority named in the market's rules makes final determinations using the contract's adjudication procedures and cited evidence; if there is disagreement, the market's published dispute resolution process applies and is described on the market page.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific phrase, keyword, or topical label defined by the market creator; read each outcome's description on the market page to understand whether it requires exact wording, a paraphrase, or coverage of a topic, since some outcomes are narrow and others broader.
Monitor Trump's official schedule (rallies, court appearances, interviews), his and his team's social media and statements, major news outlets for breaking developments, and live video/transcripts of appearances — those sources most directly influence which outcome traders expect.