| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Dome | 2% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $84K | Trade → |
| Predict / Prediction | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $72K | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $45K | Trade → |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $39K | Trade → |
| ✓ Sleepy Joe | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $33K | Resolved |
| ✓ Bibi / Netanyahu | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $31K | Resolved |
| ✓ Transgender | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $29K | Resolved |
| Windmill | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23K | Trade → |
| ✓ Epstein | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $20K | Resolved |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| ✓ Barack Hussein Obama | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $17K | Resolved |
| Cookie | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| ✓ Drill Baby Drill | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $15K | Resolved |
| ✓ Thug | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $15K | Resolved |
| Discombobulator | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| ✓ Autopen / Auto Pen | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $12K | Resolved |
| ✓ Melania | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $11K | Resolved |
| ✓ 50,000 | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Resolved |
| ✓ Somalia / Somali / Somalian | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Resolved |
| ✓ Hockey | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Resolved |
| ✓ Nobel | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Resolved |
| ✓ Communist / Communism | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Resolved |
| ✓ Olympics | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Resolved |
| ✓ Newscum | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
| ✓ Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Resolved |
This market asks which specific remark or theme former President Trump will make public during the coming week; it matters because traders use real-time signals about likely public statements to price expected mentions and media impact.
The market sits at the intersection of campaign activity, legal developments, and media coverage; recent weeks have seen frequent public appearances, social-media posts, and high-profile interviews that drive mentions-based markets. Kalshi-style event markets typically aggregate trader information about short-term, public-facing behavior rather than long-term policy outcomes.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which discrete utterance or topic will be publicly expressed during the defined week; interpret prices as a dynamic consensus signal about likelihoods, not as endorsements or guarantees.
The event page and Kalshi's market rules specify the start and end timestamps for the week; if the page lists 'TBD' for closing, check the event's rules or updates on the exchange for the exact settlement window and any time zone conventions used.
The event description determines admissible forms; typically public, attributable statements—live remarks, televised or recorded interviews, posts on major social platforms, and official written releases—are eligible, while private communications are not; consult the event adjudication criteria for specifics.
Kalshi (or its designated adjudicator) enforces the event's adjudication rules, relying on reputable, timestamped public sources (official transcripts, major news organizations, platform records) cited in the event description; disputes are resolved per the exchange's dispute-resolution procedures.
Multiple outcomes reflect granular phrasing or topic variants traders can choose between; exchanges rarely add outcomes mid-trading because that would affect market integrity—any change would be announced explicitly on the event page and follow exchange protocols.
Watch the calendar for scheduled appearances, court calendar entries, major interviews or networks booking time, trending national headlines that provoke comment, and rapid shifts in social-media attention—all of which can alter which topic or phrase becomes the most likely public statement.