| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Autism | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Communist / Communism | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Golden Dome | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Thug | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Bibi / Netanyahu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Drill Baby Drill | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Autopen / Auto Pen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Who are you with / Where are you from | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nobel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Windmill | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Melania | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Newscum | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ 50,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Discombobulator | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Predict / Prediction | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ Sleepy Joe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Stupid Question | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rigged Election / Stolen Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Transgender | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Eight War | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Hottest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market tracks specific terms, names, or topics mentioned by Donald Trump during the current week. It allows participants to speculate on his public communication strategy and focus areas as he navigates the media cycle.
Donald Trump’s communication style is characterized by a rapid, multi-channel approach spanning social media posts, rally speeches, and interviews. Given the high frequency of his public statements, identifying specific keywords is a core component of political analysis and media monitoring. This market reflects the ongoing effort to quantify the agenda-setting power of his rhetoric.
Market valuations represent the collective sentiment regarding the likelihood of a specific term appearing in official channels before the market closes. These prices adjust as real-time events and Trump’s current talking points evolve throughout the week.
The market typically covers the seven-day period defined in the contract specifications, generally aligning with the standard work week leading into the weekend.
Only mentions occurring within the specified market duration count; retrospective references or previously recorded content usually do not trigger the outcome.
Settlement is typically determined by public transcripts, official social media accounts, and reputable news media reporting verifying the occurrence of the specific word or phrase.
Each outcome is strictly defined by the exact string or term specified in the contract; close variations or synonyms generally do not satisfy the criteria.
Breaking news often acts as a catalyst, prompting immediate public responses that can rapidly shift the likelihood of specific terms being used.