| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $97K | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $87K | Trade → |
| Affordable / Affordability | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $57K | Trade → |
| Windmill | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $49K | Trade → |
| Democrat | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $45K | Trade → |
| Ballroom | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| Stock Market | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| Electricity | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $43K | Trade → |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $40K | Trade → |
| Hottest | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $38K | Trade → |
| Trillion | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $38K | Trade → |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $38K | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $32K | Trade → |
| Epic Fury | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $31K | Trade → |
| Anthropic | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $30K | Trade → |
| Genius | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $30K | Trade → |
| Biden | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| National Security | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| Tariff | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $26K | Trade → |
| Iran | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $24K | Trade → |
| China | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Israel | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Woke / DEI | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $22K | Trade → |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Oil | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $16K | Trade → |
| Peace in the Middle East | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Eight War | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Illegal Alien | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statement or topic Donald Trump will make at a tech roundtable and matters because his remarks can influence markets, policy debates, and tech-sector responses. Traders use reported statements as the event that will determine which listed outcome occurred.
Roundtables provide a structured setting where a speaker's remarks are often focused on policy, industry concerns, or campaign messaging; previous meetings between political figures and tech leaders have produced statements that shaped regulatory and public discussion. For Trump specifically, his past public comments on technology topics—ranging from regulation and antitrust to content moderation, trade, immigration for tech talent, and AI—establish recurring themes that participants and observers will watch for.
Market prices reflect how participants collectively evaluate which statement or topic is most likely to be uttered given current information, and they update as new details (attendees, agenda, leaks) emerge. Use the market as a real-time aggregation of expectations, not a definitive prediction of future statements.
Resolution typically relies on the text or a reliable verbatim record of what Trump said at the event (official transcript, video, or widely corroborated reporting) matched against the outcome definitions; consult the market's resolution criteria for exact standards.
Paraphrases can resolve to an outcome if the meaning aligns with that outcome's definition and the resolution authority deems the paraphrase equivalent; outcomes are judged by substance rather than exact quotation unless the outcome requires verbatim wording.
Outcome sets are generally fixed once the market is live; any changes prior to activation would be handled by the market operator and communicated to participants, so check market notices for updates.
High-profile tech CEOs, policy-focused attendees, and representatives of companies directly tied to a current controversy or regulatory action are most influential, since their questions and presence shape the agenda and prompt targeted remarks.
Markets typically react quickly to credible new information—announced attendees, leaked agendas, or pre-event statements—from traders who update their assessments accordingly, so significant pre-event news can shift which outcomes are considered most plausible.