| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| McDonald / McDonalds | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Big Beautiful Bill | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eight War | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Save America Act | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Democrat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fraud | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hottest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| DoorDash | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fake News | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stock Market | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the specific rhetoric and policy rhetoric used by Donald Trump during a roundtable discussion regarding the elimination of federal income taxes on service industry tips. It serves as a gauge for how the candidate chooses to frame economic relief for tipped workers to the voting public.
The proposal to end taxes on tips emerged as a signature policy plank during Trump's 2024 campaign, aimed at appealing to service and hospitality workers. By hosting specialized roundtables, the campaign seeks to contrast this policy with current tax code interpretations and emphasize a populist approach to economic policy. Participants monitor these events to identify shifts in emphasis, proposed legislative mechanisms, or rhetorical pivots regarding the policy's implementation.
Market valuations reflect the collective assessment of which specific policy details or talking points are most likely to be prioritized or explicitly mentioned by the candidate during the event.
The outcomes are derived from common themes, specific economic claims, or legislative targets expected to be mentioned by the candidate during the event.
The market typically resolves based on whether the specific phrase or concept is mentioned at least once during the duration of the official roundtable.
Yes, prediction markets capture the uncertainty of live events, allowing participants to bet on whether the candidate will stick to established talking points or introduce new, off-script ideas.
Market resolution is tied to the official transcript or verified video evidence from the roundtable event; any remarks made outside of the official roundtable context are generally excluded.
A mention is typically defined by the clear and audible articulation of a concept or phrase that corresponds to the specific market outcome, as verified by official event records.