| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| No No No | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Massie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Midnight Hammer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| November 5 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Filibuster | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Newscum | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hottest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ID / Identification | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mental Institution | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sleepy Joe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Radical Left | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mog / Mogged / Mogging | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Transgender | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| RINO | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| First Term | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tax on Tip / Tax on Overtime | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eight War | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fake News | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stock Market | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Venezuela | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks which topics, names, or phrases former President Trump will explicitly mention in his remarks at the Republican Committee Dinner; it matters because those mentions reveal messaging priorities and can move political narratives and markets in real time.
Republican committee dinners are recurring forums where party leaders, donors, and candidates hear prepared remarks and take questions; Trump's appearances at such events often mix policy announcements, campaign messaging, attacks on opponents, and responses to breaking developments. Historically, what he chooses to highlight at these dinners has signaled shifts in emphasis for his team and influenced media coverage and donor sentiment.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' expectations about which mentions will occur and should be read as an information signal rather than an immutable forecast; always check the contract’s listed resolution source and rules to understand how outcomes will be judged.
The market’s official close time is shown on the platform and may be updated; outcomes are typically resolved after the remarks using the contract’s specified resolution source (for example, an official transcript or event video), and the platform may take additional time to verify the result.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular word, name, phrase, or topic as listed in the contract; a mention generally requires an explicit verbal reference in the recorded remarks or on-the-record Q&A, and whether paraphrases or indirect references count depends on the contract’s precise wording and resolution source.
Platform rules determine treatment of cancellations or major changes: markets may be voided, paused, or have their close times adjusted; if the event proceeds with a different format, outcomes are resolved according to the contract’s resolution criteria—check announcements and the contract page for specifics.
The contract specifies the official resolution source—common choices include the event organizer’s transcript, official video, or other designated recordings; any dispute or ambiguity is handled under the platform’s resolution and appeals procedures, so consult the contract and platform policies.
Watch for breaking legal developments or filings, last-minute statements from Trump or his communications team, endorsements or controversies involving attendees, leaked drafts or agenda items, and fast-moving news that might prompt on-the-spot responses during the speech.