| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drone | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Draft / Drafted | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trillion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Board of Peace | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Khamenei | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| America First | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Radical Left | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SAVE Act / Save America Act | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pipeline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epic Fury | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fake News | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which topics, phrases, or mentions former president Donald Trump will make during a specified news conference. It matters because media statements can shift public narratives, legal arguments, and market sentiment in real time.
Trump has frequently used high‑profile news conferences to address legal developments, campaign messaging, policy positions, and to respond to reporters; past press events provide context for likely themes but do not determine any single outcome. The market's outcomes are the specific mentions or phrases listed on the market page, created so traders can express views about what he will actually say.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders about which listed mention will occur and update as new information (schedules, leaks, legal filings, news) arrives. Use those prices as a realtime signal alongside direct sources (video, transcript, reputable reporters) rather than as definitive fact.
An outcome corresponds to a specific mention, topic, or quoted phrase listed on the market page; whether paraphrases or partial matches count depends on the market’s published resolution criteria—consult the market description and resolution rules for the definitive standard.
The market close time is listed on the exchange (currently TBD); settlement follows the exchange’s resolution process using the designated evidence source (official transcript, video, or other specified resolver) and typically occurs after verification of what was said at the conference.
Follow the live video or official transcript, watch reputable newswire transcripts (AP, Reuters), or use the exchange’s stated resolver; record timestamps and links to primary sources to support verification if needed.
Delays or cancellations are handled according to the exchange’s contingency and cancellation rules; markets may be paused, voided, or rescheduled depending on how the event is modified—check platform announcements for any adjustments.
Useful patterns include his tendency to prioritize legal and campaign narratives when relevant, to repeat signature lines or talking points, to pivot to topics dominating the news cycle, and to respond to reporter prompts; these patterns inform expectations but do not guarantee which specific items will be uttered.