| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Saint Patrick Day / Saint Patrick's Day | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ballroom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Golf / Golfing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Civil War | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pam / Bondi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hottest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ellis Island | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Emerald | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific topics or phrases former President Trump will say during his Friends of Ireland Luncheon remarks. The outcome matters because his language can shape media narratives, signal policy priorities, and affect messaging to Irish‑American and broader audiences.
The Friends of Ireland Luncheon is a recurring public event where political figures address Irish‑American ties, cultural topics, and sometimes policy matters related to Ireland and Northern Ireland. Speakers traditionally mention heritage, diplomacy, immigration, or trade; political figures may also use the setting for tailored campaign or policy messaging. This particular market lists a set of 17 possible outcomes and will resolve according to the exchange's published rules (close time: TBD).
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which outcome will occur and move as new information arrives; treat them as dynamic signals rather than certainties. Always check the market's settlement rules to understand which evidence (transcript, video, or official record) will be used for resolution.
Resolution timing and procedure follow the exchange's published rules; typically the market resolves after an official transcript or video of the luncheon is available and the adjudicator confirms which outcome matches the public record. Check the event page for the exact settlement window once announced.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific phrase, topic, or category as defined in the contract text. Verification is done against the official public record (transcript, video, or other sources specified by the market); the exchange's resolution rules state what sources and adjudication standards will be used.
Unless the contract excludes them, most markets count any words spoken by the named speaker during the event window, including unscripted remarks and responses to audience prompts. Verify the contract scope to be sure.
Treatment depends on whether outcomes are defined as exact phrasing or as broader topic categories. If outcomes require exact wording, paraphrases may not qualify; if outcomes are topic‑based, paraphrases that clearly convey the same meaning typically qualify under the adjudicator's interpretation.
Markets either allow a single winning outcome or multiple winners depending on contract design. Overlaps and ties are resolved according to the exchange's stated settlement rules—consult those rules to see whether the first mention, the closest match, or multiple outcomes will be settled as winners.