| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sushi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hottest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco / Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kim Jong Un / Rocket Man | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shinzo / Abe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stock Market | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pearl Harbor | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Excursion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toyota | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taiwan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Invested / Investment | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ballroom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Baseball | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| First Term | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rare Earth / Mineral | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Korea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which topics, phrases, or remarks former President Trump will make during a formal dinner with the Prime Minister of Japan. It matters because what is said at high‑profile bilateral meetings can influence diplomacy, markets, and media narratives.
U.S.–Japan summits routinely cover security cooperation, trade, regional strategy regarding China and North Korea, and symbolic gestures of alliance. Trump has a history of mixing policy statements with off‑the‑cuff remarks; the dinner setting can produce both scripted toasts and spontaneous comments that attract attention.
In this context, market prices reflect participants’ expectations about which topics or lines Trump is likely to utter during the dinner, and they can move as new information (agendas, leaks, press statements) becomes available. Interpret movements as signals of changing expectations, not definitive predictions.
The page lists the market as closing TBD; the official close and settlement depend on the platform’s schedule and the event’s defined timeframe. Settlement will generally rely on authoritative, publicly verifiable records of what was said during the dinner (transcripts, video, or official statements) as specified in the market rules—check the market page for exact settlement criteria.
What counts depends on the market’s specific outcome definitions and settlement protocol; typically, markets use remarks that are publicly attributable to the speaker during the defined event window (formal remarks, toasts, or any audible on‑record statements). Verify the market’s definition on the event page to see whether off‑the‑record or private side conversations are excluded.
Watch official readouts from both delegations, pre‑dinner press briefings, the published agenda, joint statements, and senior aides’ public comments. Japanese ministers, embassy statements, and major news reports about last‑minute developments are also informative.
Late developments—such as an unexpected security incident, trade announcement, or domestic political event—can shift the conversation toward that topic and increase the chance Trump addresses it during the dinner. Rapidly emerging stories also change what market participants expect and what is later verifiable.
Outcomes likely map to specific topics, keywords, or named references. Prioritize outcomes that are both plausible given the agenda and easy to verify (distinct phrases, named countries, or concrete policy mentions). Consider the balance between scripted items (more predictable) and spontaneous comments (less predictable).