| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fake News | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Democrat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Save America Act | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hottest | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ballroom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Transgender | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hamas / Hezbollah | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Withdraw / Withdrew / Withdrawing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hegseth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco / Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kharg Island | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ceasefire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NATO | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Easter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| April Fools | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Supreme Court | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epic Fury | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Excursion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stock Market | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Supreme Leader | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deal / Settle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cuba | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Venezuela | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eight War / Nine War | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iraq | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Midnight Hammer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Soleimani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Russia / Russian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks specific keywords and phrases potentially uttered by Donald Trump during an official Address to the Nation. It allows participants to speculate on his rhetorical priorities and policy focus during high-stakes public broadcasts.
Addresses to the Nation are rare, formal occasions typically reserved for major crises, significant policy shifts, or national security updates. Historically, these speeches are carefully scripted, making the inclusion of specific buzzwords or policy stances a reflection of the administration's strategic messaging goals at a given moment.
Market prices represent the aggregate market sentiment regarding the likelihood that a specific term will be spoken during the broadcast, based on current political discourse.
The event is defined by a formal, televised address delivered by the President specifically designated as an Address to the Nation, distinct from general press conferences or campaign rallies.
If none of the specific phrases or keywords listed in the contract outcomes are spoken, the market will settle based on the pre-defined rules regarding 'None of the above' or null outcomes.
Settlement is determined by the official transcript provided by the White House, verified by reputable news organizations, or official government records.
Typically, the market scope is restricted to the duration of the formal prepared remarks delivered during the Address to the Nation unless otherwise specified in the market rules.
Outcomes are driven by the evolving political climate, the specific crisis or policy being addressed, and the strategic communication objectives set by the administration for that particular speech.