| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 72% | 55¢ | 71¢ | — | $365 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 75% | 54¢ | 69¢ | — | $271 | Trade → |
| Iran | 94% | 80¢ | 90¢ | — | $242 | Trade → |
| Woke / DEI | 59% | 58¢ | 70¢ | — | $197 | Trade → |
| Discombobulator | 19% | 17¢ | 22¢ | — | $174 | Trade → |
| Venezuela | 68% | 45¢ | 66¢ | — | $145 | Trade → |
| Recruit / Recruitment | 89% | 80¢ | 89¢ | — | $136 | Trade → |
| National Guard | 71% | 55¢ | 75¢ | — | $132 | Trade → |
| Midnight Hammer | 75% | 55¢ | 75¢ | — | $127 | Trade → |
| Epic Fury | 77% | 57¢ | 77¢ | — | $81 | Trade → |
| Border | 62% | 43¢ | 62¢ | — | $33 | Trade → |
| Drone | 66% | 66¢ | 85¢ | — | $28 | Trade → |
| Hegseth | 88% | 69¢ | 87¢ | — | $24 | Trade → |
| Fentanyl | 29% | 34¢ | 52¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| China | 88% | 72¢ | 89¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Golden Dome | 63% | 66¢ | 86¢ | — | $4 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 70¢ | 88¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 70¢ | 85¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |