| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Socialism / Socialist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Woke / DEI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ID / Identification | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China / Chinese | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Radical Left | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Peace Through Strength | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which words, names, or topics Steve Bannon will mention during his scheduled CPAC discussion; it matters because his remarks can influence media narratives and political conversation. The market tracks collective expectations about the content of a single public appearance.
Steve Bannon is a prominent conservative operative and media figure whose public statements have previously shaped debate on Republican strategy and populist messaging. CPAC is a high‑visibility conference for conservative activists and leaders, where speakers often tailor remarks to the audience and current news cycle. Past CPAC appearances and recent legal, political, or news developments can affect both what he chooses to address and how audiences react.
Market odds reflect the aggregated views of traders about which specific mentions will occur; they move as new information (scheduling details, leaks, related news) arrives. Use odds as a dynamic indicator of market sentiment rather than a fixed forecast — pay attention to how they change around the event.
Resolution will be based on the event’s authorized record—typically the official CPAC livestream or a verbatim transcript—using the market’s precise outcome definitions; paraphrases may or may not count depending on those definitions, so participants should read outcome wording carefully.
The market resolves after the specified CPAC session has occurred and the exchange’s adjudication process can verify the record; the exact close/resolution timing is set by the platform and may follow publication of the official video or transcript.
Primary sources are the official CPAC livestream or recording and any official transcript; adjudicators may also consult reputable contemporaneous recordings or multiple independent sources if necessary to resolve disputes.
Handling depends on the market’s outcome definitions and the exchange’s rules: outcomes are resolved according to their exact wording and any predefined precedence or disambiguation rules, and the adjudicator’s determination based on the event record is final.
No—only remarks made during the specified CPAC discussion as captured in the official event record count for this market; subsequent statements outside that session do not change resolution.