| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Keir / Starmer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| JD / Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TSA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drone | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Prison / Prisoner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Airport | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hegseth | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Russia / Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| China | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the 16 listed outcomes best matches what Rachel Maddow will say during her show; it aggregates trader expectations about live editorial content and topical emphasis. It matters because it turns real-time news signals, guest bookings, and production plans into a tradable measure of what may be said on air.
Rachel Maddow hosts a political news and opinion program with a history of in-depth monologues, interviews, and investigative segments; the show's topics often track major political events, investigations, and breaking news. Past episodes show regular patterns—planned topics anchored to a narrative, plus rapid pivots when fresh developments occur—and producers, guests, and the wider news cycle all shape the final on-air content.
Market odds are a live summary of participants' expectations about which outcome will occur and will change as new information (bookings, breaking news, previews) becomes available. Treat odds as an information signal that reflects traders' collective read on likely on-air speech, not as a definitive transcription.
Resolution typically depends on what the host actually says during the defined show window; the exchange will use recordings/transcripts and the contract's specific definitions to determine which outcome applies, so consult the market rules for the precise observation period and evidence sources.
If the market requires Rachel Maddow herself to have said the phrase, only words she utters on-air count; whether a paraphrase qualifies depends on the contract wording, and adjudicators will rely on the recorded audio/transcript to decide.
'Closes: TBD' means the official close time has not yet been set; trading remains open until the exchange posts a definitive close time or other event-specific instructions—monitor the market page for updates and any changes to the trading window.
Most contracts limit resolution to the show's defined runtime; mentions outside that window (pre-show promos, post-show interviews, social media posts) are usually excluded unless the market explicitly includes them, so check the event's scope in the market rules.
Ambiguities are resolved using the exchange's documented procedures: reviewers consult recordings/transcripts, apply the contract's text-matching rules, and follow the platform's dispute or adjudication process if necessary; refer to Kalshi's resolution policy for details.