| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| President | 43% | 41¢ | 43¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Trump | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Good Afternoon | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Probability | 48% | 45¢ | 48¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 25% | 22¢ | 25¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Consumer Confidence | 17% | 15¢ | 17¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| National Debt | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Anchor / Anchored | 80% | 80¢ | 82¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Credit | 59% | 57¢ | 59¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Citrini | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Dot Plot | 23% | 22¢ | 23¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Dissent | 33% | 29¢ | 33¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Recession | 33% | 30¢ | 33¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Median | 95% | 95¢ | 96¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Projection | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Egg | 3% | 3¢ | 5¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Pardon | 11% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Volatility | 27% | 26¢ | 27¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Tax | 25% | 24¢ | 25¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Uncertainty | 81% | 80¢ | 81¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Gold | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 78% | 78¢ | 80¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Yield Curve | 18% | 16¢ | 18¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| ADP | 10% | 8¢ | 10¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Layoff | 73% | 73¢ | 77¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Pandemic | 55% | 55¢ | 58¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Stagflation | 10% | 6¢ | 9¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Balance of Risk | 94% | 92¢ | 94¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Soft Landing | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Bitcoin | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Goods inflation | 60% | 60¢ | 61¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Restrictive | 80% | 80¢ | 81¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Softening | 73% | 68¢ | 71¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Balance Sheet | 74% | 74¢ | 76¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Expectation | 93% | 94¢ | 95¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Beige Book | 29% | 27¢ | 31¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| QT / Quantitative Tightening | 28% | 24¢ | 27¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Unchanged | 88% | 87¢ | 89¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Renovation | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Lawsuit | 10% | 8¢ | 10¢ | — | $987 | Trade → |
| QE / Quantitative Easing | 18% | 17¢ | 18¢ | — | $979 | Trade → |
| Trade War | 11% | 7¢ | 11¢ | — | $952 | Trade → |
| Kalshi | 5% | 3¢ | 4¢ | — | $857 | Trade → |
| Tariff Inflation | 65% | 65¢ | 69¢ | — | $700 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 70% | 67¢ | 69¢ | — | $611 | Trade → |