What will Powell say during his March press conference?

The event page shows 'Closes: TBD'; on Kalshi, markets of this type usually close shortly before the press conference begins to prevent trading on live content—check the event page for the official close time once it is posted.

Each outcome corresponds to a specific phrase, wording, or topic as defined in the market contract. Settlement uses the contract's exact criteria (e.g., exact wording, variant allowances, or topic matching) and the platform's chosen official source; review the market rules on Kalshi to see the precise definitions.

Kalshi will specify which part of the press conference is used for settlement in the contract terms—some markets use the full official audio/transcript of the press conference while others limit to prepared remarks; consult the event's settlement rules on Kalshi for the authoritative source.

The market's settlement rules govern tie or multiple-mention situations—common approaches include selecting the first occurrence that matches an outcome or applying a predefined precedence; check the event's contract text on Kalshi to understand how multiple mentions are handled.

Treat the FOMC statement, projections, and minutes as primary context: they set the factual basis and policy stance that Powell will explain. Use recent economic releases and Fed officials' comments to refine expectations about which themes Powell is likely to emphasize during his March press conference.