| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 94% | 90¢ | 94¢ | — | $553 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 90% | 89¢ | 97¢ | — | $525 | Trade → |
| Democrat | 42% | 41¢ | 54¢ | — | $475 | Trade → |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | 74% | 74¢ | 75¢ | — | $461 | Trade → |
| Fake News | 58% | 47¢ | 54¢ | — | $387 | Trade → |
| Midnight Hammer | 48% | 46¢ | 47¢ | — | $375 | Trade → |
| America First | 67% | 66¢ | 76¢ | — | $369 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 76% | 75¢ | 76¢ | — | $357 | Trade → |
| Hezbollah | 71% | 44¢ | 70¢ | — | $241 | Trade → |
| Oil | 50% | 50¢ | 75¢ | — | $151 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 90% | 90¢ | 91¢ | — | $114 | Trade → |
| Civilian | 65% | 53¢ | 88¢ | — | $54 | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 70% | 70¢ | 89¢ | — | $51 | Trade → |
| Drone | 90% | 68¢ | 89¢ | — | $48 | Trade → |
| Iraq | 90% | 40¢ | 80¢ | — | $28 | Trade → |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | 27% | 28¢ | 85¢ | — | $21 | Trade → |
| Submarine | 17% | 18¢ | 67¢ | — | $15 | Trade → |
| Constitution / Constitutional | 25% | 27¢ | 73¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |