| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouTube / YouTuber | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terrorism / Terrorist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Learing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hospice | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gavin / Newsom | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Democrat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daycare | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of a set of specified statements, topics, or phrases Nick Shirley will utter during his upcoming Fox News interview and why those exact words matter to observers. It matters because precise phrasing can shape media narratives, public reaction, and subsequent coverage.
Televised interviews on major news networks are tightly coordinated events: guests typically prepare talking points while hosts and producers control segment timing and framing. Similar markets have tracked whether guests make admissions, denials, policy statements, or endorse specific claims; outcomes depend on live dynamics, editorial choices, and the exact on‑air wording captured in the broadcast.
Market prices aggregate trader beliefs about which listed outcome best matches the on‑air record; use them as a real‑time consensus signal rather than a definitive prediction. Because wording matters, small differences in phrasing can change which outcome resolves.
Resolution will rely on the official Fox News broadcast segment and accompanying transcript/closed captions for that interview; only words spoken on air during the specified interview segment count, following the market's published resolution criteria.
No. Only words spoken during the on‑air Fox News interview segment specified by the market will be considered for resolution; statements outside that segment are not relevant.
Primary emphasis is on the verbatim spoken words in the broadcast and the immediate context visible in the video; unless an outcome explicitly requires interpretation of tone or intent, adjudicators focus on what was actually said as captured in the official recording.
'Closes: TBD' means the market remains open until the exchange sets a closing time, often tied to the interview schedule; each outcome corresponds to a defined phrase or topic on the market page, and you should read those definitions carefully to understand whether outcomes are mutually exclusive or can overlap.
Adjudication will use the official Fox News broadcast video and the network's transcript/closed captions as primary evidence; the market's resolution rules list acceptable sources and procedures for handling ambiguous or disputed cases.