| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elon / Musk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| SpaceX | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Houston | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gravity | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Microsoft | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Toilet (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oxygen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Food | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Radiation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Weather | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Apollo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Humidity | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exercise | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Damage | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Easter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks specific statements made by NASA officials during the Artemis II news conference, serving as a pulse on the mission's status and trajectory. It provides a structured way to gauge public expectations regarding the crewed lunar flyby.
Artemis II is the first crewed mission of the Artemis program, intended to carry astronauts around the moon and back. Given the technical complexities of the Orion spacecraft and the Space Launch System (SLS), news conferences are critical moments for NASA to confirm schedules, address safety milestones, and update stakeholders on mission readiness.
The market prices reflect the collective consensus of participants regarding which topics, technical updates, or mission timelines NASA will prioritize during their public briefing.
A mention is typically defined by an explicit, audible statement regarding a specific topic made by a NASA representative during the official designated press event.
No, this market focuses exclusively on the statements delivered during the live news conference, regardless of subsequent clarifications.
Speakers typically include the NASA Administrator, the Associate Administrator for Exploration Systems Development, and the Artemis II crew members.
If the event is rescheduled, the market typically remains open until the conference takes place; if permanently canceled, standard market resolution procedures for non-events apply.
Significant technical challenges often force NASA to be more transparent, making it more likely that specific programmatic issues will be addressed during the Q&A session.