| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| January 6 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bipartisan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Save Act / Save America Act | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stock | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Democracy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TSA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Citizen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks specific key phrases or topics mentioned by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi during her interview on MSNBC’s 'MSNBC NOW'. It serves as a gauge for which political themes or policy priorities the Democratic leadership considers most urgent at the time of the broadcast.
As a long-standing figure in the Democratic Party, Pelosi’s media appearances are often highly calculated to shape the national narrative, address current legislative stalemates, or mobilize the party base. Analysts monitor these interviews to identify shifts in strategy or early signals regarding upcoming party platform changes. Her remarks frequently move markets by highlighting potential regulatory focus or executive branch priorities.
Market valuations represent the collective assessment of which topics are most likely to be prioritized, based on current political trends and recent developments in the news cycle.
The outcome is confirmed based on the official transcript or verified broadcast footage of the MSNBC NOW interview, checking for the presence of the specific keyword or topic listed.
If none of the specific, predefined outcomes occur during the broadcast, the market typically settles according to the predefined fallback criteria established in the contract rules.
Yes, political messaging is highly sensitive to the news cycle; an interview occurring during a major legislative crisis will likely feature different focal points than one occurring during a calm period.
As the subject of the interview, her choice of words determines the outcome, though she is generally unaware of specific market contracts while drafting her talking points.
Users should refer to the 'Rules' tab on the Kalshi market page, which defines the specific criteria for what counts as a valid mention of a topic.