| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie / Freddie | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mortgage | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Deregulation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Inflation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rate Cut / Cut Rate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Recession | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Powell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leverage Ratio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market tracks what U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman will say during her upcoming Fox Business interview and which specific topics or phrasings she will use. The market matters because Bowman's public comments can influence expectations about Fed policy and financial markets.
Michelle Bowman is a Fed governor whose comments on inflation, interest rates, bank regulation, and financial stability attract attention from investors and policymakers. Fed officials' media interviews can provide color on policy intentions and risk assessments beyond official statements, especially when timed around economic data releases or Fed meetings. The event is listed with 15 possible outcomes and its close/settlement timing is currently TBD.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' views about which outcome best matches what was said; they update as news and context change. Use the market as a real-time signal of expectations rather than an official reading of Bowman's views—final determination depends on the interview transcript and the market's resolution rules.
The market lists 15 discrete outcomes that correspond to particular topics, phrasings, or tones attributed to Bowman's interview (for example references to inflation, a rate path, bank regulation, or explicit 'hawkish'/'dovish' wording). Consult the event page for the exact outcome text used for settlement.
Settlement timing is TBD; normally settlement follows the full airing of the interview and availability of a transcript or recording. The market's official resolution will follow the event's published rules, which specify the evidence used (video, transcript, timestamps) to determine which outcome occurred.
Key movers include leak or preview statements, shifts in related economic releases, last‑minute changes to the interview schedule, or notable lines from Bowman that traders perceive as materially different from her recent remarks—each can rapidly change expectations about which outcome will resolve.
Subjective-tone outcomes rely on the market's preset definitions and the event's resolution criteria; settlement typically references the exact words or transcript passages specified by the outcome language, and in ambiguous cases the market's adjudication rules explain how tone is judged.
Settlement is based on the actual content that best matches an outcome as defined on the event page—this can include initial statements and clarifying remarks. The event's resolution rules specify whether a single quoted statement, the final position, or the overall interview content is used to determine the winning outcome.