| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $216K | Trade → |
| Foster / Fostering | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $211K | Trade → |
| Ukraine / Russia | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $176K | Trade → |
| Iran | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $167K | Trade → |
| Donald | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $115K | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $59K | Trade → |
| Take it Down | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $58K | Trade → |
| Unify / Unity | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $54K | Trade → |
| Robot / Robotics | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Children | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Privacy / Security | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Peace / Peaceful | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $17K | Trade → |
This market asks which topics, words, or themes Melania will include in her United Nations address; outcomes track what she actually says and matter because high-visibility speeches shape media narratives and diplomatic signaling.
Melania Trump is a prominent public figure whose past public initiatives (notably on children's welfare and online safety) inform expectations about her remarks. UN addresses by U.S.-linked figures are typically scripted and coordinated with diplomatic and domestic priorities, and they often respond to current international events and humanitarian issues.
Prediction market prices aggregate traders' expectations about the speech content and update as new information appears (schedules, drafts, leaks, or breaking events). Treat prices as a real-time consensus signal of what the market believes the official record will contain, not a definitive record until the speech is published and the market resolves.
Resolution timing is determined by the market’s rules: typically after the speech ends and an official transcript or authoritative video is published. Check the event page or market rules for the specific resolution source and timestamp policy.
Markets rely on the operator’s specified resolution sources—commonly the official UN transcript, the video record of the address, or designated news agencies. Confirm the event’s stated resolution sources on the market page.
Whether spontaneous remarks or interruptions count depends on the market’s resolution rules. If the market’s criterion is ‘official transcript’ then only words in that transcript count; if it relies on video or broader reporting, additional live remarks may be included.
Breaking international events, newly released intelligence or humanitarian reports, last-minute diplomatic negotiations, and directives from U.S. officials or the speaker’s team are the main drivers that can alter planned content.
Monitor the UN’s live schedule and webcast, official statements from the speaker’s office, major news-wire services, and the market’s event updates. Official transcripts and recordings released shortly after the speech are the definitive sources used for resolution.