| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1,000,000,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $2,000,000,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $5,000,000,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $8,000,000,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks traders to predict MegaETH's fully diluted valuation (FDV) at 10:00 AM ET one day after the token's launch. It matters because FDV at this early timestamp captures market expectations about initial price and total supply assumptions immediately after launch.
MegaETH is a newly launching crypto token whose FDV equals the token price multiplied by the tokenomics' total supply figure. Early FDV readings can be driven by initial exchange listings, liquidity provision, large holder behavior, and any launch-day announcements or technical issues. Because launches often produce rapid price moves, the one-day-after timestamp is a focused way to measure near-term market consensus.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective view of participants and update as information and trading flow in; they should be read as the market's current consensus, not a guaranteed outcome.
The FDV is taken at 10:00 AM Eastern Time exactly one calendar day after the token's official launch time as defined by the market. The resolving price will come from the official price source(s) listed in the market rules, so consult the event page for the defined data feed.
FDV for this event is defined as the token price multiplied by the tokenomics' total token supply figure published by the project. If the market uses alternate supply assumptions, those specifics will be listed in the event description or rulebook.
Most FDV calculations use the project's published total supply, which commonly includes locked or vested tokens; however, you should verify the market's precise definition on the event page because platforms sometimes specify different conventions.
Resolution in the case of a delay, cancellation, or major change follows the platform's predefined rules for disrupted events. Check the market's terms and the platform's support documentation or contact support for the official resolution policy for this market.
This market divides possible FDV values into four mutually exclusive brackets; the exact numeric cutoffs for each outcome are shown on the event page. Review those bracket definitions before trading so you understand which outcome corresponds to a given FDV.