| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump / President | 9% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 5% | 2¢ | 5¢ | — | $10K | Trade → |
| Rat | 2% | 2¢ | 7¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Governor / Hochul | 14% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Freeze / Freezing | 1% | 1¢ | 6¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Housing | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Fee | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Landlord | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| NYPD | 1% | 0¢ | 37¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Iran / Iranian | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Childcare | 10% | 2¢ | 8¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Five Boroughs | 1% | 0¢ | 18¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Free Bus / Fast and Free | 1% | 1¢ | 11¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| FBI | 1% | 0¢ | 17¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $969 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific phrase or topic Mamdani will state in his next public announcement; it matters because the content of that announcement can signal policy priorities or prompt reactions from media and markets.
Mamdani is the named speaker for this event and market participants are speculating on the exact wording or topic of his next announcement. The Kalshi listing currently offers 12 distinct outcomes and shows $459 in total volume traded; the official close time for the market is TBD. Traders typically watch related news, official schedules, and prior statements to form expectations.
Market prices represent the aggregated judgments of traders about which of the 12 outcomes will be the winning record; prices update as new information arrives but do not guarantee any outcome.
Closes: TBD means the exchange has not published a firm closing time; trading will remain open until the platform sets the close or the event is otherwise resolved. Traders should monitor the market page and official notices for an updated close time.
Each listed outcome corresponds to a particular quoted phrase or narrowly defined topic as written on the market page. Read each outcome's text carefully—small differences in wording can determine which outcome is settled as the winner.
Kalshi will rely on the event's specified settlement criteria and source (such as an official transcript, recording, or designated reporter) to match Mamdani's words to one of the outcomes. Consult the market rules and settlement source listed on the event page for the final authority.
Past announcements provide context on topics he emphasizes, typical phrasing, and communication style, which can inform expectations. However, each announcement is context-dependent, so history is helpful but not definitive.
Low volume means prices can swing from relatively small trades and may be more volatile or less robust as signals. Treat price moves as more sensitive to individual trades and combine market signals with independent information about timing and content of the announcement.