| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Limit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump / President | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tunnel / Bridge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Governor / Hochul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Congestion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran / Iranian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Commute / Commuter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Camera | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Islam / Islamic / Ramadan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Subway / MTA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statement or category of content Mamdani will deliver during a named public announcement; it matters because the wording can shape media coverage, stakeholder reactions, and downstream decisions tied to the announcement.
The listing reflects a single upcoming public remark by a person named Mamdani; the market separates possible utterances into multiple distinct outcomes (14 outcomes on the listing) so traders can express views about granular differences in phrasing or topics. Background drivers include Mamdani's institutional role, prior public comments, and the context that prompted the announcement — all of which make precise wording consequential.
Market prices represent the crowd’s collective expectations about which outcome will be the actual phrasing or category that Mamdani uses; treat prices as real‑time signals that can move quickly when official statements, leaks, or credible reports appear, but not as guarantees of a single result.
Settlement timing is determined by the exchange’s market rules for this contract; because the listing shows 'closes: TBD', traders should monitor the market page and official notices for the announced close or for the source the exchange will use to determine the actual statement.
The exchange will rely on the settlement source specified in the contract (for example, an official transcript, the issuer’s press release, or a video of the event); consult the market’s settlement description to see which source will be authoritative.
Ambiguity is resolved by the market’s published settlement criteria: close paraphrases may be judged against exact phrasing rules or intent-based categories. Traders should review outcome definitions and any tie‑break or adjudication procedures in the contract terms.
Yes — new information such as leaks or preparatory interviews can shift market expectations and prices ahead of the official event; however, only the officially designated settlement source determines final outcomes at settlement.
Follow the market page for updates to the close time and settlement text, monitor Mamdani’s official channels and reputable media for confirmed reports or transcripts, and watch for exchange notices about dispute resolution or changes to the settlement source.