| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Landlord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran / Iranian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump / President | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Governor / Hochul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Islam / Islamic / Ramadan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Childcare | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Property Tax | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NYPD / FBI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of several predefined statements, topics, or specific words Mamdani will use during an upcoming announcement. It matters because the exact phrasing can affect how observers interpret his intent, policy direction, or newsworthiness.
The market is built around a single public statement by Mamdani; depending on his institutional role and the forum (press conference, interview, speech), the content can have different implications for stakeholders. Historical context — previous statements, ongoing disputes or policy debates he is involved in, and recent related events — will shape expectations about likely topics or language.
Market prices aggregate participants' expectations about which listed outcome will match the official record of the announcement; they update as new information (scheduling, leaks, or context) becomes available. Use the market to gauge crowd expectations, and always compare outcomes to the event's official resolution rules before trading.
Mamdani is the person making the announcement; his institutional role and public profile determine why observers care. This market specifically tracks the exact phrasing or topic he uses in that announcement rather than broader outcomes.
The 12 outcomes correspond to mutually exclusive possible statements, mentions, or topics the event creator defined for what Mamdani might say. Each outcome is a distinct resolution option — check the event page to see how those options are worded and whether they are mutually exclusive.
Resolution typically follows the platform's published rules: the market will be settled against the official record of the announcement (transcript, video, or press release) at the time specified by the event page or at announcement time if unspecified. Consult the event's resolution criteria for exact timing and procedures.
Resolution generally relies on authoritative primary sources such as an official transcript, the event's video or audio recording, or an official press release; the event page should list preferred sources and tie‑breaking rules if multiple records differ.
Ambiguity can arise from paraphrasing, overlap between similar outcomes, translation differences, background noise in live audio, or divergent media reports. If the wording of listed outcomes is close, participants should review resolution rules and source hierarchy to understand how disputes would be handled.