| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump / President | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Governor / Hochul | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Property Tax | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| NYPD | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ripoff / Rip Off | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Landlord | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| LaGuardia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Working Class / Middle Class | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Childcare | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Freeze / Freezing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Budget / Deficit | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Five Borough | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of 13 predefined statements or topics Mamdani will use in his upcoming announcement; it matters because the wording can signal policy direction, organizational decisions, or shifts in public messaging. Market prices aggregate trader expectations about what he will actually say.
Mamdani has made prior public statements that shaped expectations around his priorities and the organization he represents; observers often parse phrasing for commitments, personnel changes, or strategic shifts. Because the event closes TBD and outcomes are discrete textual categories, timing, venue, and the exact transcript will determine resolution.
Odds in this market reflect collective beliefs about which of the 13 specific outcomes will match the official, public phrasing; consult the platform’s resolution rules to see how the winning outcome will be selected and what counts as the authoritative record.
The platform will resolve to the outcome that best matches the authoritative, public record of Mamdani’s announcement as defined in the event rules—typically an official transcript, video, or press release; check the event’s resolution criteria on the market page for specifics.
Leaked or draft texts may influence trader expectations but generally do not determine resolution unless the market’s rules explicitly accept them; only the official public statement at the time specified by the event’s resolution policy will usually count.
Resolution typically uses the initial official announcement designated by the market rules; subsequent clarifications may be relevant only if the event’s resolution policy allows later authoritative corrections—consult that policy for this market.
Outcomes commonly cover distinct, mutually exclusive categories such as explicit policy commitments, personnel announcements, calls for action, denials or retractions, substantive data claims, or statements that amount to 'no new information'; review the outcome list on the market page to see the exact categories.
Monitor Mamdani’s official channels and his organization’s press office, live video or audio feeds of the event, major reputable news outlets for live reporting, and official transcripts or press releases that would serve as the authoritative record for resolution.