| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ceasefire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Reform | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Defense / Defence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Drone | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Energy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| North Sea | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which words, lines, or themes Keir Starmer will use during the next Prime Minister's Questions and is useful for traders who want to express views about opposition messaging and immediate political narratives. The outcome can signal Labour's short-term priorities and how Starmer frames criticism of the government.
Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) is a fixed parliamentary session where the leader of the opposition questions the prime minister on current matters; it is a high‑visibility forum that often sets the day's political headlines. Starmer's interventions at PMQs typically reflect party strategy, recent events, and ongoing policy priorities, and they may emphasize rhetoric, specific policy proposals, or attacks on government performance.
Market prices reflect traders' collective views about which specific line, phrase or theme Starmer is most likely to use at PMQs, not a guaranteed outcome; prices can move rapidly as news breaks or as parliamentary context becomes clearer. Consult the event page for exact outcome definitions and resolution rules before trading.
Each outcome corresponds to a particular quoted line, paraphrased phrase, or thematic category listed on the event page; check the market page for exact wording and any examples that clarify how an outcome will be judged.
Resolution will take place after the next PMQs session once the official record and any resolution guidance are available; 'TBD' means the market remains open until organizers set a closing rule—consult the event page for the declared close time and final resolution timing.
Resolution typically relies on the official parliamentary record (Hansard), the video or audio of the PMQs session, and any platform-specific rules; the event's resolution criteria on the market page will specify which sources are authoritative.
Whether paraphrase qualifies depends on the outcome definitions: some outcomes are thematic and allow paraphrase while others require specific wording; read each outcome's resolution guidance to understand whether meaning, keywords, or exact phrasing is required.
Pre‑briefings can shift market expectations by revealing likely themes or lines, but the event resolves based on what is actually said during PMQs; traders factor in leaks and briefings when positioning, but verification still depends on the official record and the market's resolution rules.