| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Rebate / Refund | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Mayor / Mamdani | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Trump | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Inflation | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Housing | 2% | 0¢ | 2¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Billion | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Canada / Canadian | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Budget / Deficit | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statement or topic New York Governor Kathy Hochul will use in her next public announcement; it matters because her words can signal policy direction and prompt market, media, and political reactions.
Hochul became governor following the 2021 transition and has since addressed issues such as the state budget, public health, infrastructure, and public safety. The content of any given announcement is shaped by ongoing legislative schedules, emerging crises, and communications strategy from the governor’s office.
Market prices aggregate traders’ expectations about what she will say and change as new information arrives; use them as a real-time gauge of which outcomes participants consider most likely, while consulting primary sources (the governor’s office or live feeds) for confirmation.
The market’s close is listed as TBD; check the market page for updates because closing can be tied to a fixed time, a live event, or post-announcement verification rules.
Outcomes are defined in the market’s rules—typically by exact wording, topic category, or a stated threshold of similarity—so read the event description and resolution criteria on the market page to know which statements qualify.
Resolution procedures should specify which source is authoritative (e.g., official transcript, governor’s website, or first public utterance); the market operator’s rules determine which version governs resolution.
Past announcements show she often highlights the state budget, public health guidance, infrastructure funding, and public safety; timing around legislative sessions and crises influences emphasis and specificity.
Key influencers include the governor’s communications team, policy advisers and cabinet members (e.g., health and budget officials), legislative leaders in Albany, major stakeholder groups, and federal officials when federal resources or coordination are involved.