| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayor / Mamdani | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Billion | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Trump | 15% | 17¢ | 22¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Manufacture / Manufacturing | 8% | 8¢ | 11¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | 25% | 14¢ | 25¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 14% | 13¢ | 17¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Tariff | 8% | 8¢ | 14¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Housing | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Rebate / Refund | 15% | 8¢ | 15¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 12% | 5¢ | 12¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Inflation | 5% | 5¢ | 14¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
This market asks which topic or phrase Governor Kathy Hochul will use in her next public announcement; it matters because her public remarks signal policy priorities, emergency responses, and political positioning in New York. Monitoring mentions can help observers anticipate administration actions and media narratives.
Kathy Hochul, as New York’s governor, makes announcements in many contexts — scheduled press briefings, budget rollouts, emergency responses, or campaign events. Her messaging patterns are shaped by immediate events in the state (storms, public safety incidents, court rulings), the legislative calendar, and coordination with party and federal officials.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which subject or wording is most likely to appear in her next announcement and update as new information arrives. Treat those prices as real-time signals that incorporate news, schedules, and shifting political priorities, not definitive predictions.
The event currently lists a TBD closing; the exchange determines the official close according to its event rules, which typically tie settlement timing to the occurrence of the referenced announcement or a pre-specified cutoff. Check the market page and the exchange’s rulebook for any published updates on the close time.
Settlement will rely on public statements made by Kathy Hochul in her official capacity, such as an on-the-record press conference, official press release, or live address from the governor’s office. Private interviews or third-party commentary generally do not qualify unless the exchange’s rules explicitly include them; the authoritative sources used for settlement will be listed by the exchange.
Contracts differ, but common approaches include awarding the outcome corresponding to the first applicable mention, the primary topic as determined by the exchange’s adjudication rules, or requiring an exact-phrase match. Review the specific event rules for tie-breaking and multi-mention adjudication procedures.
Exchanges typically rely on official governor’s office transcripts, live video or audio from the event, and official press releases as primary sources; they may also accept recordings from recognized news outlets when they replicate the official feed. The market’s settlement statement will identify the authoritative sources used.
Track the governor’s official schedule and press advisories, social media from the governor and her communications team, state emergency alerts, the New York legislative calendar, and local news outlets for breaking events. Last-minute changes to planned events or emergent incidents can rapidly alter which topics she addresses.