| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy / Economic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Common Sense | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Inflation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Childcare | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Commute / Commuter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Housing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mayor / Mamdani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the predefined outcomes best matches what Kathy Hochul says during her upcoming announcement. It matters because the specific content—policy emphasis, a campaign decision, endorsements, or strategic messaging—can shift political dynamics and expectations.
Kathy Hochul is the governor of New York and her public announcements have previously been used to launch policy initiatives, respond to crises, or make electoral decisions; those contexts shape what she might choose to emphasize. Platforms running this market have divided likely speech content into 13 discrete outcomes so traders can express views on which category her remarks will fall into.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which outcome will best match the announcement text or transcript; expect the most rapid price movement around the official statement. Settlement will follow the exchange's predefined rules for sourcing the official wording and selecting the winning outcome.
The exchange lists the event but may leave the close open until organizers assign a concrete time; timing matters because markets update quickly on live reports and official releases, so traders often wait for a timestamped transcript or livestream to confirm the winning outcome.
Each outcome is a labeled category created by the market (for example: policy pledge, candidacy declaration, endorsement, budget announcement, etc.); consult the market's outcome descriptions or rules page on the platform for exact definitions used for settlement.
Exchanges typically specify authoritative sources in the contract rules—commonly the official press release or transcript from the speaker's office, an archived livestream, or a designated major news outlet; check the market's settlement clause for the final source hierarchy.
Most markets have tie-breaker or priority rules to select a single winning outcome when statements are ambiguous or overlap; read the market's settlement criteria to understand how overlaps and ambiguous language are resolved.
Watch campaign schedules and advisories, official social media and fundraising emails, leaks to reporters, endorsements, legislative votes or budget releases, and major local or national news that could force a pivot in messaging.