| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lock / Locked | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mental Health | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Florida | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mayor / Mamdani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Homeless / Homelessness | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Housing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Common Sense | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific topics, declarations, or names Governor Kathy Hochul will mention during an upcoming public announcement; outcomes track whether she explicitly states particular items. The result matters because her words can shift political expectations, media coverage, and stakeholder reactions in New York and beyond.
Kathy Hochul, New York's governor since 2021, has used public announcements for policy rollouts, political positioning, and personnel changes; prior governors' speeches provide relevant precedents for form and framing. The context for any announcement includes the state political calendar, media strategy, and recent news or crises that can shape the message.
Market prices summarize traders' collective expectations about which mentions will occur; interpret prices as dynamic signals that update when new information (scheduling details, leaks, or related events) arrives. Use them as one input among official sources such as the event notice, transcript, and video.
Outcomes enumerate specific mentions, commitments, or declarations — for example, naming a policy, announcing a candidacy, endorsing another candidate, or signaling a personnel change — each judged on whether she explicitly states the listed item during the announced remarks.
Settlement depends on the market's rules: typically outcomes are evaluated against the official transcript or recording of the announced event, with a defined settlement window after the speech concludes; check the event page or exchange rules for the precise settlement method and timing.
Use the official transcript or video as the primary source for settlement; press reports can be useful for early signals but may paraphrase or omit exact wording, so verify mentions against the official record.
That depends on the event's defined scope: markets usually specify whether only on-the-record remarks during the scheduled announcement (and any designated Q&A) count, so consult the event description and settlement criteria to see if extra-session remarks are included.
Key influencers include her senior advisors and communications team, major state and national party figures, interest groups with lobbying leverage, recent policy or legal developments in New York, and the proximity of electoral deadlines or endorsements that change strategic priorities.