| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immigrant / Immigration | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Trump | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Inflation | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Eligible / Eligibility | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $11K | Trade → |
| Hunger / Hungry | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Budget / Deficit | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Attendance | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Mayor / Mamdani | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Buffalo | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
This market asks which specific message or announcement New York Governor Kathy Hochul will make in an upcoming public statement. The outcome matters because her words can affect state policy direction, political dynamics, and market expectations about New York governance.
Kathy Hochul serves as governor of New York and has used public announcements to signal policy priorities, respond to crises, and make political decisions. Observers often parse phrasing, timing, and emphasis to infer whether an announcement is primarily policy-driven, administrative, or related to electoral strategy.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of traders about which precise statement or theme she will adopt; those prices update as new signals arrive and should be read as a dynamic summary of expectations rather than a fixed prediction.
The market's close time is listed on the market page and is currently TBD; resolution will follow the closing and the market's published resolution rules tied to the announcement moment and any official transcript or recording.
The market offers 12 mutually exclusive outcome labels that map to specific statements or themes she might utter (for example: a named policy proposal, a campaign decision, an endorsement, or a denial of new initiatives). Consult the market page for the exact text of each outcome, since resolution depends on that wording.
Resolution follows the market's published oracle/rules: adjudicators typically rely on verbatim transcripts, official press releases, and the contract's exact definitions to determine the single winning outcome; traders should review those definitions in advance to understand edge cases.
Reliable movers include official previews or one-pagers from the governor's office, on-the-record comments from senior staff, draft policy documents, the presence of particular guests or partners at the event, and any contemporaneous crises or incoming data that change priorities.
Key influencers include Governor Hochul and her senior advisers, state agency leaders and legislative allies, major interest groups and municipal officials whose cooperation she needs, and national party figures if the announcement has an electoral angle.