| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Basel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mortgage | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Replace / Replaced / Replacement | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leverage Ratio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Balance Sheet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Economy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Good Afternoon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Inflation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Capital Requirement | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gold | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rate | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statements or themes Jerome Powell will articulate during the Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting. The content of his remarks matters because language from the Fed Chair shapes market expectations, financial conditions, and the interpretation of monetary policy direction.
The Fed Chair’s public remarks are a primary vehicle for communicating monetary policy assessment, outlook, and guidance to markets, governments, and the public. Historically, small changes in wording — in prepared remarks or in Q&A — have altered market pricing and economic expectations, so participants watch for nuances in tone, emphasis, and new language. The broader economic backdrop, recent data releases, and previous Fed communications all frame what Powell is likely to say.
Market odds for this event summarize traders’ aggregated views about which specific statement or theme Powell will use at the meeting, based on available information and expectations. Use the odds as a real-time signal of consensus and of how new information changes expectations, not as a fixed measure of policy outcomes.
Resolution typically follows the official release or transcript of Jerome Powell’s remarks for the specified Open Board Meeting and will adhere to the platform’s published resolution rules; check the event page for the platform’s defined resolution criteria and timing.
Outcomes reflect distinct statements, themes, or specific mentions Powell could make (for example, particular wording about the economic outlook, policy direction, or risk assessment); each outcome maps to a different possible phrasing or focus that would be verifiable against the official record.
That depends on the event’s resolution rules — some markets count the full public remarks including Q&A, others count only prepared remarks; confirm on the event page which parts of the public meeting are included for resolution.
Past speeches provide patterns in language, priorities, and phrasing and can indicate likely emphases, but they must be interpreted alongside current data, recent Fed communications, and any new policy developments that may shift his messaging.
Recent statements by other Fed governors or regional presidents, fresh economic data releases, market moves, and any emerging financial stability issues can all prompt changes in tone or content in Powell’s remarks.