| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immunity Idol | 16% | 14¢ | 16¢ | — | $47K | Trade → |
| Fire | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | — | $31K | Trade → |
| Trust | 18% | 9¢ | 10¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Key | 90% | 91¢ | 93¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Water | 19% | 14¢ | 19¢ | — | $19K | Trade → |
| Alliance | 21% | 20¢ | 25¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Advantage | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Comeback / Come Back | 13% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Strategy / Strategize / Strategic | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Fish / Fishing | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Hunger / Hungry | 14% | 11¢ | 14¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Medic / Medical | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| MrBeast / Beast | 8% | 6¢ | 8¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Flint | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Fiji | 12% | 7¢ | 9¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Puzzle | 91% | 91¢ | 93¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Reward | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Billie Eilish | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Tribe has Spoken | 96% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Sit Out | 36% | 28¢ | 33¢ | — | $963 | Trade → |
| Torch | 97% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $436 | Trade → |
This market asks which exact line or mention Jeff Probst will say during Survivor Episode 3 and matters because specific quotes can drive attention, social media reaction, and trading in a mentions-style contract.
Jeff Probst is the long-running host of Survivor, known for emblematic phrases, challenge commentary, and tribal council prompts; producers and episode events shape what he says each week. Episode 3 outcomes depend on that episode's edited broadcast and whether Probst uses familiar stock lines, ad-libs reacting to gameplay, or mentions specific contestants or twists.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s collective expectation about which line will appear in the aired episode; they update as new information (casting teasers, previews, or early leaks) becomes available and should be read as the market’s current consensus, not a fixed prediction.
Resolution typically occurs after the official broadcast of Episode 3 once the exchange can verify the episode audio/video or an official transcript; the exchange’s rules and announcement will specify the exact settlement timing.
Whether exact wording or paraphrase counts depends on the contract’s resolution criteria; check the market description and resolution rules to see if outcomes require verbatim matches, allowable minor edits, or contextual interpretation.
Exchanges generally rely on the official broadcast audio/video and, where available, network-issued transcripts or producer statements; third-party captions or social-media snippets are supplementary unless the market rules explicitly permit them.
Only material that appears in the final aired episode (or other sources specified by the market rules) will typically be eligible for resolution; lines recorded but removed in post-production usually do not count unless the contract says otherwise.
Treat promos and teasers as potential signals: they can increase the likelihood an outcome will appear, but always verify whether the contract treats promotional material as part of the resolved episode content or only the final broadcast.