| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire | 44% | 42¢ | 44¢ | — | $44K | Trade → |
| Immunity Idol | 23% | 22¢ | 23¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| Puzzle | 37% | 29¢ | 33¢ | — | $18K | Trade → |
| Medic / Medical | 81% | 81¢ | 82¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Advantage | 97% | 96¢ | 98¢ | — | $8K | Trade → |
| Trust | 35% | 32¢ | 34¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Alliance | 32% | 31¢ | 32¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Billie Eilish | 14% | 10¢ | 11¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Fish / Fishing | 17% | 16¢ | 17¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| Flint | 96% | 96¢ | 97¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Comeback / Come Back | 34% | 28¢ | 33¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Key | 82% | 84¢ | 86¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Water | 86% | 88¢ | 90¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Hunger / Hungry | 29% | 26¢ | 27¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| Fiji | 22% | 21¢ | 22¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Strategy / Strategize / Strategic | 92% | 93¢ | 94¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Reward | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| MrBeast / Beast | 14% | 12¢ | 13¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
This market asks which exact line or mention Jeff Probst will say during Survivor Episode 2; it matters because the specific phrasing can shape audience perception, social-media reaction, and how the contract resolves.
Survivor is a highly produced, pre-taped reality competition where the host frames challenges, explains twists, and conducts tribal councils; Jeff Probst has been the long-time host and often delivers a mix of scripted lines and spontaneous commentary. Episode 2 typically continues early-game storylines—challenge results, alliance signals, and the first or second tribal dynamics—which influences what the host is likely to say on-air.
Market prices reflect the crowd's assessment of which listed line will appear in the Episode 2 broadcast and update as previews, leaks, or production details emerge; interpret prices as real-time consensus signals, not guarantees of what will air.
Resolution is based on the words spoken in the Episode 2 broadcast as aired to viewers (the televised or stream version defined by the contract); lines spoken in promos, previews, interviews, or non-broadcast clips are generally excluded—check the market’s resolution language for precise boundaries.
Resolution depends on the market’s contract rules and the arbiter’s interpretation; markets typically resolve to the single listed outcome that most closely matches the broadcast verbatim or to an explicitly defined priority—consult the contract text or exchange support for the tie-break procedure.
Yes—what matters for resolution is whether the line appears in the Episode 2 broadcast that viewers hear, regardless of when it was recorded; post-production additions that are included in the aired episode are treated as part of the episode content.
Yes—promos, press releases, set photos, or credible leaks provide information that traders can use, so those items often influence market prices ahead of the broadcast; however, the market ultimately resolves to what is actually said on-air.
Historical patterns matter: Probst routinely announces challenge rules and results, frames twists, asks contestants questions at Tribal Council, and uses show-standard phrasing—these recurring duties narrow the set of plausible lines even though exact wording can vary due to scripting and editing.