| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trust | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sit Out | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| MrBeast / Beast | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Medic / Medical | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immunity Idol | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hunger / Hungry | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fish / Fishing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fiji | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Comeback / Come Back | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billie Eilish | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alliance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Puzzle | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Key | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rope | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Safe / Safety | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which line or mention Jeff Probst will say during Survivor Episode 5; it matters because host lines are central to episode structure and are often referenced by fans and media. Traders use the market to express and aggregate expectations about what will be said on-air.
Jeff Probst, as Survivor's long‑time host, delivers a mix of challenge instructions, scene introductions, commentary, and Tribal Council lines; Episode 5 normally contains a challenge, camp scenes, and possibly a Tribal Council depending on the season format. The market lists 17 mutually exclusive mention outcomes and currently closes TBD, so timing and available information (previews, leaks, official recaps) will shape trading.
Market prices reflect the collective expectation of which specific line will appear in Ep 5 and update as new information arrives; interpret prices as relative market beliefs rather than fixed guarantees, and expect them to shift with previews, edits, or confirmed spoilers.
Resolution typically requires the episode to air and the spoken content to be publicly verifiable; because the market's close is TBD, expect resolution only after the episode is available and the exchange confirms which spoken phrase occurred.
Outcomes are set when the market is listed; exchanges sometimes modify markets pre‑resolution in special cases, but traders should assume the 17 outcomes will determine final resolution unless the exchange announces changes.
Outcomes tend to cover distinct, verifiable utterances such as challenge instructions, formal Tribal Council lines, short recurring catchphrases, scene introductions, or uniquely notable commentary that can be identified in the episode transcript.
Use previews and leaks cautiously: official previews can hint at likely scenes but may omit exact phrasing, while leaks vary in reliability; only confirmed, publicly verifiable audio/video from the episode should be treated as definitive for resolution.
More outcomes mean the market distributes belief across many specific phrases, so individual outcome liquidity may be lower and prices more sensitive to small pieces of information; focus on how new information reallocates weight among similar outcomes rather than on any single price.