| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Radical Left | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epic Fury | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ID / Identification | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Middle Class / Working Class | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Made / Made in America | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fentanyl | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Illegal Alien | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| American Dream | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terrorism / Terrorist | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tariff | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Biden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manufacturing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fraud | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Inflation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Save Act / Save America Act | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nuclear | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which topics, phrases, or mentions JD Vance will make during a scheduled public remarks event in Michigan. The content of his remarks matters because it signals campaign priorities, messaging to voters and donors, and potential shifts in his policy emphasis.
JD Vance is a U.S. senator and public figure whose speeches blend policy positions, cultural themes, and political messaging; his framing in Michigan will be shaped by both national debates and local concerns. Michigan is a politically and economically important state with strong ties to manufacturing, the auto industry, and organized labor, so speakers there often tailor remarks to those audiences. Campaign timing, recent news events, and coordination with allied politicians or groups also shape the substance and tone of such remarks.
Market prices reflect what traders collectively expect he will say (topics, references, or specific phrases) based on available information and updates as the event unfolds. Prices change with new reporting, leaked scripts, or live statements and should be read as a dynamic aggregation of expectations rather than a fixed prediction of intent.
The market generally covers the content of the scheduled public address itself as defined on the event page; whether pre-event remarks, Q&A, or post-speech comments count depends on the market's outcome definitions and adjudication rules.
Outcomes typically include mentions of specific policy topics, named individuals or organizations, particular catchphrases or slogans, endorsements or attacks, and local references (e.g., auto industry, unions).
Settlement normally relies on authoritative sources such as the official transcript, video of the event, or reputable media reporting; ambiguous cases are resolved according to the market's adjudication rules, which define how mentions are counted.
Whether Q&A or audience interaction counts depends on the market's scope. If the event page or outcome definitions include 'remarks' broadly, unscripted exchanges may count; if they specify only prepared remarks, those exchanges may be excluded.
Real-time releases of a speech transcript or video, surprise policy announcements or endorsements, direct references to high-profile figures or local stakeholders, and on-the-ground reporting that changes perceptions of what was said are the main drivers of price movement.