| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic Fury | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $161K | Trade → |
| America First | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $148K | Trade → |
| Israel / Israeli | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $137K | Trade → |
| Congress / Congressional | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $106K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $100K | Trade → |
| Khamenei / Ayatollah | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $57K | Trade → |
| Radical Left | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $57K | Trade → |
| Biden | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $55K | Trade → |
| Midnight Hammer | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $50K | Trade → |
| Oil | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $46K | Trade → |
| Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $46K | Trade → |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $33K | Trade → |
| Uranium | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $29K | Trade → |
| Regime | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| Transition / Revolution | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $28K | Trade → |
| Fraud | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $27K | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $21K | Trade → |
| Democrat | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $20K | Trade → |
| Protest / Protester | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $15K | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $13K | Trade → |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $12K | Trade → |
This market asks which specific statements, themes, or assertions JD Vance will make during his upcoming Fox News interview; those remarks can shape media coverage and political reactions. It matters because on-air comments often alter candidate reputations, fundraising narratives, and messaging battles within the GOP.
JD Vance is a U.S. Senator and author known for strong media appearances and polarizing rhetoric; interviews on Fox News reach a large conservative audience and can amplify or recalibrate his standing. The market lists 21 distinct outcomes to capture a range of possible quotations, topic emphases, or claims, reflecting trader interest and differing expectations about what he will say.
In this context, market prices reflect the crowd’s evolving expectations about which specific statements or themes will be voiced during the interview. Prices typically move in response to pre-interview previews, shifts in the news cycle, the announced interviewer, and the actual broadcast or transcript.
Resolution usually covers statements made during the on-air portion of the Fox News interview as defined by the market rules; off-air comments, pre- or post-interview social media posts, and later clarifications are typically excluded unless the market explicitly allows them.
Yes — any officially released clips, transcripts, or reliable previews can move expectations because they reveal content in advance, and traders will incorporate that information immediately.
Markets that resolve on precise wording usually require verbatim or clearly equivalent phrasing as defined in the market’s event description and resolution criteria; paraphrases may not satisfy strict quote-based outcomes, so consult the event’s resolution rules.
No — the market focuses on what JD Vance himself says during the interview window; host or guest commentary is separate unless an outcome explicitly references others’ statements.
Review past interviews for patterns in his talking points, defensive tactics, and message discipline, then factor in differences in interviewer style, current events, and any new campaign priorities that could change his approach.