| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBI | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Investigate / Investigated / Investigation | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Epstein | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ICE / DHS | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fraud | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which topics, names, or exact phrases Jamie Raskin will utter during his upcoming MS NOW interview. Outcomes track public mentions because what a high‑profile lawmaker says on a program can shape media narratives and related markets.
Jamie Raskin is a U.S. Representative and constitutional law scholar who frequently appears on television to discuss oversight, constitutional issues, elections, and legislation. His remarks are often tied to current congressional activity, investigations, or breaking political developments, so an interview's content typically reflects both his recent work and any fast‑moving news cycle.
Market prices aggregate participants' expectations about which mentions will occur and update as new information arrives (e.g., pre‑interview statements or breaking news). Use the market as a real‑time signal of collective expectations, but remember it reflects beliefs about likely speech, not a transcript.
Settlement will follow the event's official contract specification; typically it covers the aired interview window as published by the program or the official transcript linked on the event page. Check the market's rules for the exact adjudication window.
That depends on how the contract defines a 'mention.' Some markets require an explicit, unambiguous utterance of the name or keyword, while others allow clear synonyms or referential contexts. Review the event's definitions and adjudication guidance for how indirect references are treated.
The event page or platform specifies the adjudicator (often the exchange operator or a designated panel). Adjudicators generally rely on the official broadcast, network transcript, or the program's posted video as the authoritative source; the contract will list which sources are acceptable.
Follow Raskin's official statements, his congressional office releases, his verified social media accounts, the MS NOW program's preview materials, and breaking news about related investigations or legislation—any of these can alter his expected talking points.
Settlement uses the official source(s) named in the market contract—often the initial broadcast or the network's published transcript/video. Edited later uploads may not be the basis for adjudication unless the contract explicitly allows them.