| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mayor / Mamdani | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Minecraft | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chicken Jockey | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mario | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bowser | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| School of Rock | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Panda | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the listed lines or topics Jack Black will say in his Saturday Night Live opening monologue; it matters to traders who want to convert expectations about a specific celebrity moment into tradable positions.
Saturday Night Live opening monologues are typically a brief, scripted mix of jokes, promotional lines, and topical references delivered by the episode’s host; hosts like Jack Black may lean on a mix of prepared material and improvisation. This market lists 11 discrete possible outcomes and is set to resolve based on the monologue as aired; the market close time is currently listed as TBD on the exchange.
Market odds here reflect the evolving consensus about which listed line or topic Jack Black will say in the televised monologue; treat them as a real-time signal that updates as new information (promotional schedules, publicity, rehearsals) becomes available.
The market close time is listed as TBD; the winning outcome will be determined after the SNL episode airs according to the exchange’s stated resolution schedule—check the market page for any updates to the close or resolution timing.
The exchange resolves to the outcome that best matches the spoken content of Jack Black’s opening monologue as presented in the source material defined by the market (typically the live broadcast or official transcript/clip); consult the market’s resolution rules for exact wording and adjudication procedures.
If a listed outcome corresponds to promotional wording or references and those exact words or topics are spoken in the opening monologue as captured by the resolution source, that outcome is eligible for resolution.
In cases of improvisation or mixed lines the exchange will select the outcome that most closely matches the actual spoken content; if ambiguity remains, the market operator’s adjudication or tie-breaking rules will be applied—refer to the market’s dispute and resolution policy.
The market’s resolution rules specify the authoritative source (commonly the live NBC broadcast, the official SNL transcript, or the official posted clip); always check the market page for the definitive source used for verification.