| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSG / Madison Square Garden | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marathon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| New York City | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| English / England | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Pleasing | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gosling | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grammy | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| One Direction | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Netflix | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kiss All the Time | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific words, names, or topics Harry Styles will say during the SNL opening monologue. It matters because live-word outcomes capture cultural moments and drive short-term trading around high-attention broadcasts.
SNL opening monologues are typically a mix of scripted jokes, topical references, and occasional improvisation; hosts often address their careers, current events, or the show itself. Harry Styles is a high-profile musician and actor whose public persona and prior appearances inform expectations about tone and likely references. Markets on spoken-content outcomes aggregate real-time information from rehearsals, interviews, and publicity around the episode.
Market prices indicate collective expectations about what will be said and will change as new information arrives. Treat them as dynamic sentiment signals tied to the live broadcast and the market’s resolution rules.
The market close is listed as TBD; typical practice is that markets close before the live monologue begins and settlements occur after the monologue ends once broadcast footage is reviewed. Check the market page for the platform’s exact close and resolution timeline.
A 'mention' refers to words or topics spoken aloud during the opening monologue as broadcast; it requires audible, on-air speech that matches the market’s outcome wording. Paraphrases, off-air comments, or text on screen generally do not qualify unless the market rules specify otherwise.
The market operator (KALSHI) or designated resolution moderators review the official broadcast footage and transcripts and apply the posted resolution criteria. Their decision is based on clear audio/video evidence and the market’s exact wording rules.
Such information can legitimately change market sentiment and prices, but only the live monologue content determines settlement. Use pre-show signals as inputs, knowing they may not reflect the final on-air script.
Ambiguity is resolved by reviewing clear audio/video and comparing it to the market’s outcome text; if evidence is insufficient or the wording doesn’t match, moderators will apply the market’s tie/invalid outcome rules—consult the platform’s dispute and resolution policies for specifics.