| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $107K | Trade → |
| Fraud | 1% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $80K | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $14K | Trade → |
| Kristi / Noem | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $9K | Trade → |
| Election | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $6K | Trade → |
| ICE / National Guard | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $5K | Trade → |
| Republican | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Iran / Iranian | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Congress / Congressional | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Trump | 99% | 0¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
This market lets traders bet on which of a set of predefined statements or topics Hakeem Jeffries will utter during his upcoming Meet the Press appearance. It matters because his words can influence media coverage, House Democratic messaging, and market expectations about congressional dynamics.
Hakeem Jeffries is the House Democratic Leader and a frequent media spokesman for his party; his Meet the Press appearances are high-profile opportunities to frame Democratic priorities and respond to current events. The market lists 12 mutually exclusive outcomes (phrased as specific utterances or topic mentions) and will resolve based on the televised episode.
Market prices reflect the collective judgment of traders and update as new information emerges (news, previews, leaks, or scheduling changes). They are not guarantees but a continuously updating signal about what participants expect him to say.
Resolution occurs after the episode’s first televised airing once the official transcript or video confirms which predefined outcome occurred; the market close time is listed as TBD, so monitor the contract page for updates.
A winning outcome is based on words spoken on-air during the designated Meet the Press episode as captured in the broadcast transcript or video; off-air remarks, social media posts, and later interviews are not used unless specified by the contract.
Check the contract’s outcome definitions and adjudication rules: some contracts use the first qualifying utterance, others specify mutually exclusive categories; the market’s official resolution criteria determine which outcome is selected.
If the appearance is delayed or pre-recorded, the market typically waits for the first televised airing for resolution; if the appearance is canceled, the contract will follow the exchange’s cancellation or voiding policy—watch official exchange notices.
Use past appearances to identify recurring themes, typical framing, and likely talking points, but weigh that against current events and the party’s immediate priorities, since real-time developments often shift what he emphasizes.