| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Border | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taxpayer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Economy / Economic | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Fraud | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Democrat | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ICE / TSA | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi market asks which topics or specific phrases Greg Abbott will say during his CPAC speech; results matter because his remarks can signal policy priorities and influence conservative messaging. The market aggregates traders’ judgments about what Abbott will explicitly say on stage.
CPAC is a high-profile annual gathering of conservative activists and leaders where speakers often outline priorities, test messages, and respond to intra-party debates. Greg Abbott, as the Texas governor and a prominent Republican figure, has used major speeches to emphasize state policy, national issues, and potential future ambitions. Speech content typically reflects a mix of prepared talking points, reactions to recent events, and tailoring to the CPAC audience.
Market odds represent the collective view of which listed outcome is most likely to be spoken aloud during the speech; they update as new information becomes available. Interpret them as a snapshot of consensus about what Abbott will say, not as a measure of the speech’s tone or future political consequences.
Resolution timing is set by the market operator; since the event close is listed as TBD, traders should watch the market notice for the official close. The outcome is typically resolved based on the speech as delivered on the official CPAC livestream or transcript within the operator’s stated resolution window.
A 'mention' means the governor spoke the specified word, phrase, or topic aloud during his on-stage CPAC remarks as judged by the market’s resolution source. Paraphrases by moderators, audience comments, or post-speech summaries generally do not count unless the resolution rules explicitly allow them.
Verification typically relies on the official CPAC livestream and the full official transcript or archival video; organizers or the market operator may also cite reputable media transcripts if specified in the resolution policy. Check the market’s rulepage for the authoritative source list.
Yes — speakers often adjust remarks in response to late developments or audience cues. Such last-minute changes immediately affect market expectations and will be reflected in prices as traders incorporate new information; only what is actually spoken on stage will be used for resolution.
Breaking stories related to border/security incidents, key court decisions, major endorsements or withdrawals, significant state-level emergencies, or prominent statements by national GOP leaders can all shift expectations about what Abbott will address at CPAC.