| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fake News | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Trump (3+ times) | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Border | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Hormuz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Election | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Event does not qualify | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| National Security | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Oil | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iran | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which specific topic, line, or mention Dan Crenshaw will make during his upcoming Face the Nation appearance; it matters because his on-air remarks can shape media narratives, influence other politicians, and move public attention.
Dan Crenshaw is a sitting member of Congress who regularly appears on national news programs to discuss policy, politics, and current events. Face the Nation is a long‑running Sunday interview program where format, the host's questions, and the current news cycle all shape what a guest is likely to say.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about which listed outcome will be uttered or referenced on the show and will update as new information (e.g., pre-interview statements or breaking news) becomes available. Use prices as a real‑time signal of market consensus rather than a statement of certainty.
Each listed outcome is defined on the market page; resolution typically depends on whether the broadcast transcript or official video contains the specified phrase, keyword, or topical reference as defined in the event rules. Consult the market's outcome definitions and KALSHI resolution policy for precise criteria.
Resolution follows the market's stated rules; many markets resolve to the first qualifying occurrence unless the event description specifies otherwise. KALSHI will verify against the official broadcast transcript or video when determining the winning outcome.
The market close is listed as TBD, so check the market page for updates; resolution typically occurs after the episode airs and KALSHI has time to review the official record and apply the event’s resolution criteria.
Past appearances can provide useful patterns about his preferred topics, tone, and likelihood of using certain soundbites; traders often review prior interviews to inform expectations, but each appearance is shaped by the specific news agenda and interviewer that week.
Breaking events tied to Crenshaw’s areas of focus (e.g., national security incidents, legislative developments, or revelations about political opponents), a new press release or tweet from Crenshaw before the show, or public statements from the program announcing pre-arranged topics could all rapidly shift which outcome traders expect.